Turn Match-ups

Here are the odds for the turn. There is now only one card to come, so it doesn’t matter if players are all-in or not.

Hand	Odds
Overpair
vs Flop	The AA is 21 to 1 favorite
vs Flop	The AA is 7.8 to 1 favorite
vs Flop	The AA is 4.5 to 1 underdog
vs Flop	The AA is 21 to 1 underdog
Flush Draw
vs Flop	The 89 is 3.9 to 1 underdog
vs Flop	The 89 is 4.5 to 1 underdog
vs Flop	The 89 is 6.3 to 1 underdog
vs Flop	The A8 is 2.7 to 1 underdog
vs Flop	The A8 is 3.9 to 1 underdog
vs Flop	The A8 is 5.3 to 1 underdog
vs Flop	The 89 is 2.7 to 1 underdog
vs Flop	The AK is 1.4 to 1 underdog
Overcards
vs Flop	The AK is 6.3 to 1 underdog
vs Flop	The AK is 6.3 to 1 underdog
vs Flop	The A8 is 13.7 to 1 underdog
vs Flop	The AK is 2.7 to 1 favorite
Domination
vs Flop	The AK is 13.7 to 1 favorite
vs Flop	The AK is 13.7 to 1 favorite
vs Flop	The AK is 13.7 to 1 favorite
Straigth Draw
vs Flop	The 89 is 4.5 to 1 underdog
vs Flop	The 89 is 4.5 to 1 underdog
vs Flop	The 89 is 4.5 to 1 underdog
vs Flop	The 89 is 2.1 to 1 underdog
Middle Pair
vs Flop	The A5 is 7.8 to 1 underdog
vs Flop	The Q5 is 7.8 to 1 underdog

Most match-ups on the turn are a matter of counting outs. Here is a brief summary.

• Two outers, like AA vs KK, or AA vs a set, are 21:1 underdog.
• Three outers, like an overcard needing to pair, are a bit less than 14:1 underdog.
• Five outers, like AA vs top pair, are a bit less than 8:1 underdog.
• Six outers, like a non-paired hand needing to make a pair, are a bit more than 6:1 underdog.
• Eight outers are 9:2 underdog.
• Nine outers are a bit less than 4:1.
• Twelve outers, like flush draws with an overcard or a gutshot, are 2.7:1.
• Fifteen outers, like flush draws with two overcards, are a bit less than 3:2.

As a consequence, there is no need to learn much for the turn beyond the out/odds correspondance, as far as odds are concerned.

On the flop, the odds of improving on the turn can be derived from the odds above for the most part.

Final Words

Study carefully the odds on each street; don’t learn everything by heart, but try to note the similitudes between situations, and know how many outs you have. Odds give you facts to analyze, instead of relying on emotions that are prone to cost you a good deal of money. They are also essential in correctly pricing your hands - a concept that we will see in another article…

Related Items:

• Holdem Rules
• Implied Odds
• Odds & Pot Odds
• Odds Basics